Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005166 0.005452 0.005747 0.006075 0.006431 0.006805 0.007230
2025-12-28 0.004696 0.005114 0.005567 0.006095 0.006697 0.007367 0.008173
2026-01-04 0.004437 0.004937 0.005494 0.006166 0.006963 0.007884 0.009043
2026-01-11 0.004179 0.004725 0.005348 0.006120 0.007062 0.008187 0.009656
2026-01-18 0.003987 0.004570 0.005248 0.006108 0.007185 0.008509 0.010295
2026-01-25 0.003804 0.004409 0.005127 0.006055 0.007242 0.008740 0.010823
2026-02-01 0.003728 0.004373 0.005150 0.006175 0.007518 0.009258 0.011759
2026-02-08 0.003596 0.004257 0.005066 0.006150 0.007597 0.009516 0.012352
2026-02-15 0.003486 0.004163 0.005002 0.006144 0.007698 0.009804 0.013001
2026-02-22 0.003352 0.004032 0.004884 0.006058 0.007681 0.009922 0.013405
2026-03-01 0.003233 0.003915 0.004778 0.005982 0.007670 0.010043 0.013817
2026-03-08 0.003149 0.003839 0.004723 0.005970 0.007746 0.010291 0.014438
2026-03-15 0.002999 0.003673 0.004542 0.005780 0.007561 0.010147 0.014433
2026-03-22 0.002936 0.003621 0.004512 0.005798 0.007677 0.010458 0.015188
2026-03-29 0.002896 0.003596 0.004518 0.005864 0.007865 0.010889 0.016177
2026-04-05 0.002820 0.003520 0.004450 0.005822 0.007887 0.011058 0.016730
2026-04-12 0.002759 0.003463 0.004406 0.005811 0.007954 0.011302 0.017433
2026-04-19 0.002689 0.003391 0.004337 0.005761 0.007958 0.011442 0.017958
2026-04-26 0.002675 0.003396 0.004377 0.005873 0.008219 0.012021 0.019352
2026-05-03 0.002619 0.003340 0.004329 0.005849 0.008262 0.012233 0.020065
2026-05-10 0.002572 0.003295 0.004294 0.005844 0.008334 0.012499 0.020908
2026-05-17 0.002504 0.003220 0.004213 0.005764 0.008279 0.012537 0.021288
2026-05-24 0.002442 0.003150 0.004138 0.005693 0.008235 0.012591 0.021705